- First, Chris Brown of Smart Football looks at scouting as a whole. As usual, no one brings a more intelligent & insightful commentary. And we agree, the Combine is essentially a waste of time.
- Derrick Morgan will most likely be the Jacket chosen first in this year's draft. We expect him to be off the board within the first 15 picks. Morgan is obviously a terrific player who demonstrates maturity & commitment both on & off the field. Football Outsiders, who do more with statistics than anyone else out there, has created a very interesting metric to translate a players collegiate career into their success in the NFL. While not a completed work, SackSEER has tons of promise. We also agree with the model's assessment of Morgan.
- The predictions on where BayBay Thomas will be drafted range from the Dolphins at #12 to late second round. We see Thomas going late first to early second, with Dallas at #27 a distinct possibility. After a good pro day workout on Sunday where he showed no lingering effects of the broken foot suffered in March, Pat Yasinskas feels the Falcons may be interested at #19. So far it looks as if BayBay's unfortunate injury hasn't hurt his draft stock.
- The Tech player eliciting the most "controversy" among draftniks is Jonathan Dwyer. The gist of the argument is whether Dwyer is a product of our spread option offense or a legitimate NFL talent? The recent brouhaha over a positive drug test is much ado about nothing & shouldn't effect his draft status. His lackluster Combine performance coupled with our unconventional offense on the other hand may cause Dwyer to slide down some draft boards. One small bonus for the Diesel is that he's remained relatively healthy in a class of beaten up backs. Matt Waldman of Football Guys took a look at a Dwyer highlight loop & broke down the tape over at the New York Times Fifth Down Blog. Waldman concludes that Dwyer is a work in progress who will need to learn & progress to be an impact back at the next level. We can't disagree as this is the case for most collegiate players. What does become VERY clear in Waldman's analysis of Dwyer is just how devastatingly effective our spread option offense is. We're glad others are beginning to see the beauty. My guess on Dwyer is anywhere mid-second (Texans at #51 or Pats at #53) to late third round (Eagles at #87 & Chargers at #91).
- Finally there's Morgan Burnett. Many questioned why Burnett would choose to enter the draft after what was regarded a a sub-par junior year? I think early Friday night their questions will be answered. Burnett had a spectacular pro day at Tech, putting up some eye-popping numbers. Add to that his versatility (he can play both free & strong safety) and overall career body of work & you have a terrific football player. We expect Burnett to be off the board in the second round. Burnett could go as early as #42 to Tampa Bay while Kansas City at #50 & Dallas at #59 are also logical fits.
Thursday, April 22, 2010
All hail the new, improved, slightly truncated NFL draft. The eve is finally upon us & this is the deepest Tech class we can remember with four players assured of going & another (Cord Howard) on the fence. Some thoughts & links heading into tonight:
Posted by Barrel of Rum at 10:29 AM