Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Balls or Brains, You Make the Call

Though rooted in the NFL, Belichek's decision to go for it on 4th down has driven some interesting research which may cast some light on Paul Johnson's testicular fortitude, i.e. he may just know something we don't. Check out Sports Nation. According to their numbers, going for it on fourth down, even from his on 28, was 9% more likely to produce victory than punting the ball away. Unfortunately for Belichek, when you live by the numbers you die by the numbers, but if the odds are right, he'll win more than he loses, like Paul Johnson.

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